General advice for big races
As grand as The Breeders' Cup is, we as handicappers look for positive wagering opportunities for earning a profit. And earning money should be the most important aspect of the Breeders Cup upon which you should be focused. Yes, it can be difficult to find an edge in these hyper competitive fields; however, we handicappers do have a couple of factors in our favor.
First, nearly all the races for the Breeders’ Cup have large fields. The payoffs tend to be more generous than the fields at your everyday meets. For example, a strong selection in a typical everyday field may pay $6 or $7 to win, while a similarly strong contender at the Breeders' Cup is likely to pay a higher win price. Additionally, place and show payoffs at the Breeders’ Cup tend to be higher.
Second, the exotic payoffs can be enormous, and Milton's easy-to-follow strategies can give you profitable suggestions on how to structure exotic wagers.
Perhaps the most straightforward and effective approach is one best explained by Art Baker in his excellent and very logical analysis of handicapping Graded Stakes races and the Breeders' Cup detailed in a terrific essay he wrote for the March/April 2010 TIPS Report.
If you own this article, and I strongly encourage you to reread it. Art’s analysis in that issue is among the six or seven most popular of the 125-plus TIPS Report we've published over the years, some of which are available as downloads including the Mar/Apr 2010.
Art’s Breeders' Cup approach is highly effective and profitable. He has continued to use his strategy for Graded Stakes races and the Breeders' Cup profitably year after year. In fact, the year Art first shared his approach, he earned a fantastic ROI of 112% in the win slot and a 29% ROI to place.
In addition, we would all do well to read or re-read advice from the late Milton Weinblatt, another Florida handicapper who contributed popular, highly effective and profitable handicapping approaches. In fact, his ideas continue to be in demand!
Milton evolved over the years from handicapping strictly maiden races and wagering show-only to developing his own straightforward yet extremely effective exotic wagering strategies that work best in the lowest caliber of races, (maiden) and the highest class of horses, Graded Stakes, even Grade 1 stakes races!
Milton cashed tremendous exotics using a strategy with 2 extremely attractive features:
1. quick & easy to isolate contenders; and
2. calls for small wagers with potentially huge payouts.
His article in the March/April 2009 TIPS Report is one of our top 10 requested issues. It's in this issue when he first introduced his highly profitable exacta and superfecta approach.
Over the next few years, Milton refined his approach and called it a “Plan for Super Racing Days.” It is ideal for days such the Breeders’ Cup, Kentucky Derby, Preakness and Belmont, as well as all other big stakes races. Milton used his “Super Plan” for the 2011 Preakness, 2012 Kentucky Derby, and 2012 Preakness. Here's the bottom line of his report for those 3 days of special races, as detailed in the May/June 2012 TIPS Report:
$396.00 = total wagered
$604.56 = return
$208.56 = net profit
52% = ROI
Not bad for a 90-something year old handicapper! This is a terrific ROI especially considering that Milton's approach requires little handicapping. It's straightforward, and one that Milton used for nearly 5 years.
You may order any one of the above reports, (Art Baker’s Breeders’ Cup strategies or Milton Weinblatt’s Graded Stakes approach), order all three or get the three plus selections.
Please let us know if you have questions by giving us a call at 401-921-5158 or send Jon Worth an email at firstname.lastname@example.org or email@example.com
Make your plans now!