Here's a transcribed voice-mail message a Best Bets subscriber was kind enough to leave for us at 1:19 p.m. on 07/07/2019:
"Good morning Mr. Worth this is happy subscriber in New Orleans Louisiana. Thank you so much; you have been on fire in the best bets! Talk to you later and way to go. Thanks a lot. Bye bye."
From a Best Bets subscriber who also subscribed to our Breeders' Cup service:
"I just wanted to take a moment and say how pleased I was with your Breeders Cup analysis.
Played Saturday's card. (Working all day on Friday). I should have followed the paradigm you write about and stopped after race 7.
I put up $100 through race 7 and had a return of $225.75. In race 7 I used your picks and had a $13 show wager on #9, a $0.50 (for $3) tri box with 1,5,9 (return of $31.3) and I got creative and use the 1,5,9 combo on top of using the 2 in fourth place for a $0.50 superfecta bet ($3 total) return of $90.25.
It was a fun day using your picks. Thanks so much - looking forward to next year, a Best Bets subscriber."
To: 'TIPS Report' <firstname.lastname@example.org>
Sent: Sat, Jul 21, 2018 6:17 pm
Subject: RE: best bets 7-21
Jon this may be a duplicate email as I sent one earlier but not sure if I did so correctly. Just want to thank you for sending out best bet play before I had to leave for work at 7:20 AM. I have to leave at that time on Saturdays and Sundays. I checked my mail this morning just before leaving and there was your best bet so I was able to play and enjoy the winnings. Appreciate your efforts.
"I am enjoying the Best Bets service. Keep up the good work. H...."
Summary for 10-23-2018 through 12-24-2018
(Note: During this timeframe, there were 2 days with no Best Bets spotted. In addition, 2 Best Bets were lost due to cancellation of racing at Golden Gate due to the poor air quality from the Paradise wildfire in November.)
48 Best Bets total:
24 of 48 selections finished 1st....50%
Total return to win....................$114.40
less 48 Wagers @ $2 each............$ 96.00
Net Profit for WIN.....................$ 18.40
Average win mutuel returned.......$4.76
39 of 48 finished at least 2nd......81%
Total return to place..................$113.20
48 wagers @ $2 each..................$ 96.00
Net profit for PLACE..................$ 17.20
ROI to place............................17.9%
Average place mutuel.................$2.90
44 of 48 finished at least 3rd.....91%
Total return to show.................$111.80
48 Wagers @ $2 each................$ 96.00
Net Profit for SHOW.................$ 15.80
ROI to show........................16.40%
Average show mutuel...............$2.54
With the high collection rate to place and show, a 2 or 3 race parlay in the show hole could serve to leverage and thus increase profit without too much added risk.
I should also note there were 2 large exactas, $56 and $97, the latter on 12-22 in 8th race. The Best Bet selection on 12-22 paid $8.40. I had suggested a 3-horse exacta box, (though the third one may still be running), and the other two, the Best Bet and the #9 ran 1-2.
Having two large exactas for the Best Bets selection service in a short period of time is a bit unusual, but it does happen occasionally.
More recently, on Saturday, March 9, 2019, the Best Bet exacta returned a more pedestrian $12, which is more in line with usual best bet suggested exactas.
Buff returned: $5.90 - $3.90 - $2.60
30% ROI on 10 unit Show
I noted 2 exactas I was consdiering:
1/2 unit box 7-4, (ran out) - and - 1/2 unit 7 & 4 over Krewe Chief
The 1/2 unit exacta with Chief paid $23, and boosted ROI to 102% if you had it.
#5 Supercede won: $5 - $3 - $2.20
suggested place-show wager returned 18% ROI
optional 1/2 unit ex. box with the #2 Tryst Cat returned: $11.70 and boosted ROI to 125% if you had it.
#3 in 8th race ran 3rd: -- -- $3.40
Selections spent most of the race in 4th and 5th place, turned on the jets heading toward the 6f mark into 3rd, leaped ahead to grab the lead and drew off steadily in stretch to win going away.
With the scratch down to 6 entries, I went with a slightly reduced place wager, ($2.40), 20% roi.
60% roi is certainly quite decent.
Here is a summary of last 3 weeks of best bets; including the ROI using my (very conservative $ management approach):
Offering Plan: $4.70 $3.10 $2.30
Defiantly: $3.60 $2.60 $2.10
Lion In Wait: $7.10 $2.90 $2.20
(I passed exacta but roi 90% including win wager)
Princess Ashlyn: --- --- $3.20
37% roi on show wager; including win wager that ran out
Valiant Flame: --- --- $2.10
Minus $1.10 because place wager ran out
Joe Joe's Kingdom: --- $2.80 $2.40
25% roi on place-show wager
$4.60 $2.80 $2.40
place-show wager produced 25% roi in a 6-horse field
Court Battle: $3.20 $2.60 $2.10
place wager produced 30% roi
first time in months no best bet
closest was from Hawthorn was more of a 'solid selection' in the way of:
International Diva: --- $3.40 $2.80
Rainbow North: $3.00 $2.40 $2.10
12% roi on place show wager
Marley's Freedom: ran 4th
loss on day
Vasilika: $4.20 $3.00 $2.60
37% roi on place-show wager
8th @ Aqueduct
Dream Passage: --- --- $2.70
show wager only with 35% roi on show wager
3rd @ Woodbine
Blurricane: --- $2.70 $2.10
13% roi on place-show wager
2nd @ Charlestown
Alpine Moon: --- $3.80 $2.80
#2 Sherwood: $8.20
#3 Aunt Maggie
exacta came in as well
40% roi if you wagered show only
if you included exacta
120% on Exacta
To: TIPS Report <email@example.com>
Sent: Fri, May 25, 2018 6:33 pm
Subject: Re: best bets 5-25
Thank you, again, Jon, for giving us a very good play. I played the 5 to win, the 11 to show for 5 units and an exacta box. It made my day and more than paid for the 3 months best bet subscription. Your best bets service is in a league of its own.